Description: This paper presents the modeling of mortality risk from exposure to a potential future extreme event such as a natural disaster and a terrorist attack, and its impact on life insurance. With this new model, quantities associated with the total force of mortality such as survival function are derived and the impact of mortality risk on life insurance is examined.

Description: Transcript of the Q&A period from Session 6B: Health Status and its Impact on Mortality

Description: This article investigates the simplicity of the Balducci hypothesis, and compares the fractional-age death probability given by three widely used assumptions: uniform distribution of deaths, the Balducci hypothesis, and constant force of mortality [1, 2].

Description: Discussion of Living to 100 Session 5A. The papers presented propose a new method to price the longevity risk premia in order to tackle the pricing obstacle and reviewed the insurance industry implications on retirement planning and the secondary market in insurance.

Description: These are the discussant comments for the concurrent Session 3A: Mortality Inequality: Impact of Socioeconomic Factors

Description: This is the informal discussion transcript from Session 3A: Mortality Inequality; Impact of Socioeconomic Factors from the 2017 Living to 100 Symposium.

Description: This paper introduces the predictive modeling tools to mortality research. The predictive modeling is applied to study how multiple risk drivers such as demographic characteristics and social and economic status impact the mortality improvement of the advanced age population. The paper provides both the theoretical frameworks and the application aspects of the predictive modeling process. As the result, a mortality risk score was derived in differentiating the mortality risk for the advanced age population.

Description: The effect on mortality of the reduction in smoking and the increase obesity in the U.S. is estimated based on historical and projected patterns.

Description: This paper develops the binomial version of the Lee-Carter model and provides a comparative study of simulation strategies for assessing risk in mortality rate predictions and associated estimates of life expectancy and annuity values in both period and cohort frameworks.

Description: The effect on mortality of the reduction in smoking and the increase obesity in the U.S. is estimated based on historical and projected patterns.